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Bill's Blog and Weekly Newsletter

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Vortex
Another Trip to the Future

My wife and I recently took a vacation in New Orleans for Mardi-Gras, and it …

BlogMarch 8, 2016
Rora
My Trip to the Future: Technology, Diversity, and Community

I spent a week in Brooklyn recently for my daughter’s wedding, and I came back …

BlogNovember 26, 2015
Porotfino
The Struggle between Left and Right in Italy

Portofino My wife and took a glorious week in Rome, Tuscany and Umbria recently, savoring …

BlogNovember 2, 2015
What If Lincoln Had Let the South Go? A Counterfactual Thought Experiment

Although Americans are justly proud of the heroic way President Lincoln kept the South in …

BlogOctober 14, 2015
What the Pope Should Tell Congress: Americans Should Strive to Realize Their Ideals

          As a scholar, forecaster, strategist, businessman, American Catholic, and all-around know-it-all, I wondered what …

BlogSeptember 23, 2015
Why the GOP Loves Trump and the Odds of His Election

The amazing rise of Donald Trump to lead the Republican race for president is a …

BlogAugust 30, 2015
A Poke in the Eye and the SONY Hack: How Will Americans Handle the Clash between Freedom and Violence?

 The North Korean attack on SONY raised the issue of America’s vaunted “freedom of expression” …

BlogDecember 20, 2014
Forecasting Threats Like Ebola

Eleven months into the world’s worst Ebola outbreak, there have been more than 9,200 suspected …

BlogNovember 3, 2014
Testing Forecast Repeatability: Before and After Data on the Move from TechCast.org to TechCastGlobal.com

  TechCast’s recent move from its 6th generation website (www.TechCast.org) to its new 7th gen …

BlogOctober 20, 2014
A Carbon Bubbble in 2015?

The dot.com bubble caused a market crash in 2000, a housing bubble almost brought down …

BlogJuly 24, 2014
Is Soft Power a Breakthrough?

My TechCast Project (www.TechCastGlobal.com) has published breakthroughs for years, usually for emerging technologies. This is our …

BlogJuly 7, 2014
Moment of Truth: Will “Immiseration” of the Working Class Spur Change?

Cautionary Note:  Although I have published in the Washington Post, the New York Times, and …

BlogJanuary 15, 2014
Stop Arguing: Today’s Knotty Problems Demand Collaboration

The strident controversy over President Obama’s threat to strike Syria and Congress’s most recent stalemate …

BlogOctober 1, 2013
We Got It Right: America Could Start Working Again

My blogs over the past few years have agonized over the American Decline, but I …

BlogNovember 21, 2012
Prospects for American Renewal: Will the 2012 Elections Turn the Tide?

The decline of the US is pretty well-accepted now by all but the most fervent …

BlogSeptember 13, 2012
At the Eye of the Storm: Advice From the Future

        The “Crisis of Capitalism” has entered a more quiescent phase, leaving massive threats looming …

BlogMarch 11, 2012
If Great Corporations Could Lead: How to Unite Right and Left and Save the World

What if our great corporations could direct their enormous capabilities to solving the global mess …

BlogFebruary 10, 2012
Could Americans Outgrow Capitalism?

           Yes, I know it sounds loony, hyper-liberal, Marxist, and unrealistic to think that true-blue …

BlogOctober 7, 2011
Wildfires, Brush, and Biofuel

With all the depressing news of raging wildfires and killer tornadoes in the Southwest USA, …

BlogJuly 13, 2011
What’s Next? Will Emerging Technologies Help?

This is a confusing time, with the US in gridlock, the Great Recession rolling on, …

BlogJune 21, 2011
What are the Keys to Apple’s Success in Emerging Technologies?

Apple did not come by its present success easily. Before the iPod, iPhone, and iPad …

BlogMay 2, 2011
How NetFlix Beat Blockbuster: An Exemplar of Emerging Technologies

CEO Reed Hastings Announces Streaming Movies Just a decade ago, Blockbuster ruled the movie rental …

BlogApril 26, 2011
More Emerging Technologies

 Following up my last blog, here are more interesting emerging technologies that are likely to …

BlogApril 16, 2011
Striking Emerging Technologies

With the Technology Revolution heating up very quickly, I thought a quick summary of some …

BlogApril 13, 2011
Limits of Markets

Unguided markets focused on short-term profit were largely responsible for the financial meltdown of 2008 …

BlogOctober 11, 2010
Business is Stuck

I was speaking with a friend who’s an executive in large US corporation, and our …

BlogJuly 14, 2010
Singapore II

I was invited back to Singapore to keynote the International Risk Assessment and Horizon Scanning …

BlogMay 3, 2010
Stalemate: Political Gridlock in the U.S.

The 2010 Massachusetts election for U.S. Senate marks the resurgence of Republican power to counter …

BlogJanuary 19, 2010
Report from Singapore

I’d like to give you a report on my trip to Singapore and what it …

BlogDecember 15, 2009
Bill On Kojo Nnamdi Show

Bill was interviewed on WAMU’s The Kojo Nnamdi Show.  They discussed TechCast’s forecasts on the …

BlogDecember 10, 2009
Going Nowhere

As President Obama and a few allies like Senator Kennedy struggle to pull together a …

BlogDecember 10, 2009
America Should Learn to Cooperate

Americans seems stuck in a high-conflict mode, as best seen in the heated clashes between …

BlogDecember 10, 2009
Through the Crisis of Maturity: Forecast of a New Economic Boom

The constant drumbeat of cascading business failures is certainly daunting, but technology forecasts suggest that …

BlogDecember 10, 2009
Parable of the Light Switch

I was puzzling about a light switch with a broken “arm” that holds the control …

BlogDecember 10, 2009